Tuesday, September 27, 2005

Learning To Breathe Pt.1

Hmmm, 2 months since the last post . . . are those crickets I hear chirping?

It would be nice to say that I've spent the past eight weeks blissfully enjoying the fruits of my trading, sipping iced tea on some sandy shore without a care for what the markets were doing. That would be nice indeed.

Instead, I must admit to a short but harrowing round-trip to hell and back again. I'll save you from the gorier details, but let's just say 'irrational' doesn't come close to describing the drama that was enacted. For a few ugly weeks, it seemed I could not give away my equity to the markets fast enough. The same old story, the same repeated mistakes. But this time, it bordered on deliberate. What's the classic Market Wizard quote? Everybody gets what they want out of the markets. So -- did I want "out of the markets", or what? Was there a hidden urge to push everything over the edge, and be done with this whole trading thing? For a while it certainly felt that way. Because the entire time as I sank deeper into my own self-made grave, suffering through one mini-blow up after the next, a single thought drummed through my brain endlessly, over and over: What a fucking waste of time.

A waste of time. It was a thought that frequently triggered simultaneously with my stops on the inevitable deterioration of any profitable position nursed too long. Even if no damage was done to closed equity, even if the risk in holding out for greater gains was coldly calculated beforehand, I'd still have an irresistible urge to take inventory of the time spent in constant indecision, the hours of emotions pulled high and low as the position surged and retraced. All that effort and energy expended -- for nothing. But now the thought encompassed more than just the previous trade; it was how I was starting to subconsciously regard the past seven years entirely. I'd driven my account to the very edge, another step from which there would be no going back. And pehaps that was exactly where I needed to be, if only to be able to answer the question right at the crossroads: Is the life of a trader really what I still wanted?

Well -- I'm still here trading. Still here writing. You may extrapolate what you will what mental resolutions were necessary in choosing to continue on; the details are not important. The essential point was: whether or not all of it was truly a waste of time was simply my choice to make.

To be continued . . .

PS -- I originally intended to call this post "The Abyss" and quote Lou Manheim from Oliver Stone's Wall Street. But honestly, I found I did not care much for reliving the lowest moment for the sake of putting it into words (I actually started writing this a week ago), which is why this first part kinda ends abruptly. Perhaps because weeks have elapsed since then, everything I remember about it comes back hazy and distant, almost dream-like. In fact, I still feel sort of sheepish about the whole episode in retrospect, if only because at times I feel like I'm repeating the same story over and over. But I guess that makes sense after all: it's actually just one story that stretches back over my entire experience as a trader, and by no means should you get the idea that some turning point can be reached in a matter of weeks. Each chapter in a trader's life overlaps with another, the lessons being years in the learning, the book years in the making. And with any luck, it will be years more before my story ends. But anyways, if you're wondering, the title of this post will make more sense after the next part, so hang in there a bit.

6 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Time to stop trading and be humble enough to actually test your strategy. Over and over until you know the characteristics of the beast you are trading. And when it's acting according to design or not. Anything else before this is done is just a waste of time, effort, money and life. But remember, you get exactly what need, not necessarily what you want.

5:52 PM  
Blogger illiquid said...

Agreed, in retrospect having all the characteristics of my setups clearly outlined and compiled was necessary before real progress could last. I came upon my methods intuitively over the years, using alot of trial and error. It wasn't until the last six months that I actually began properly investigating and compiling what was needed, to really understand what it was my methods were taking advantage of -- to know what I did not know, if you know what I mean. It proved a very arduous and exhausting process (both financially and psychologically) to conduct real-time/dollar testing, and act before complete conviction was achieved; however, I do not know if I could have done it any other way, given my trading history. I guess there's a fine line between resilience and stubborness, with outright stupidity not far beyond that.

Your last line is a gem. Thanks for reading and taking the time to post, I really appreciate it.

10:27 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Maybe this will help you:

http://www.trade2win.com/knowledge/articles/general%20articles/when-trading-journals-dont-work

5:52 PM  
Blogger illiquid said...

Thanks for the link. But I never considered this a journal that might not "work" -- it's more of a record of thoughts and creative outlet than anything else. The process of writing and expressing an idea imposes a mental concentration that helps me get to a certain level of coherency and understanding that might be difficult to achieve during the actual trading day. I never intended to post an actual log of trades or ideas behind taking positions, although what I had in mind when I started this blog was much closer to that model. But as things came out they just went off on a more oblique path. As opposed to the daily market sessions where finding opportunities is mostly about hours of waiting followed by split-second timing and judgement, here I'm trying to consider things from a different angle, using a slower "pace" of thought to work through issues that originate from a more hectic place. That is the intent so far at least -- whether or not this is of use to others is questionable, but it's honest if nothing else.

8:50 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It's so familiar to read the lines. It's like seeing my own trading again.

Environmentally speaking, it's a tough market to trade. You can see from the meltdown of the day trading firms on the street.

Individually speaking, trading is psychology. I would suggest you to read "Fooled by Randomness". Try to read it in your local library and not to buy it--even you know something, it's hard to execute it, so don't waste the money in the first place.

I'm not a profitable trader myself but really appreciate that you share the experiences with us.

1:38 AM  
Blogger illiquid said...

I'm fortunate never to have suffered from a lack of opportunity in the markets I observe; if anything, I've never been shaken in the belief that there are far too many opportunities out there for any individual to follow, and that only a fraction thereof need be captured for success.

Taleb's book is a must read. I've always thought that one of my duties as a trader was to seal out "randomness" as thoroughly as possible, only exposing my capital to situations where the impetus for movement was understood, even forseen, if you'll permit. The author does a good job in ferreting out all the permutations where chance masquerades as design, and the lessons are indispensible for any trader.

10:49 AM  

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